Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
BSG
2 - 1
ZWI
32%
24%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
ZWI
1 - 2
BFC
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ROS
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
LOK
1 - 0
ZWI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
ZWI
1 - 0
VOW
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
ERF
0 - 0
ROS
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
LOK
1 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
ERF
4 - 0
VOW
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
FCU
2 - 0
ERF
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
ERF
2 - 1
CZJ
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |