DDR Oberliga round 1

Zwickau vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis

Zwickau BSG Wismut Aue
61 ELO 78
9.5% Tilt 9.4%
4006º General ELO ranking 42740º
121º Country ELO ranking 2064º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Zwickau
27.2%
Draw
35.2%
BSG Wismut Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
Zwickau
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.2%
Win probability
BSG Wismut Aue
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Zwickau
BSG Wismut Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 1986
CHE
Chemnitzer
4 - 1
Zwickau
ZWI
69%
19%
12%
61 76 15 0
14 May. 1986
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 6
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
26%
28%
47%
62 80 18 -1
10 May. 1986
BSV
BSV Stahl Brandenburg
3 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
63%
21%
16%
63 74 11 -1
03 May. 1986
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 1
BFC Dynamo
BFC
13%
19%
68%
62 89 27 +1
30 Apr. 1986
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
2 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
67%
20%
13%
63 76 13 -1

Matches

BSG Wismut Aue
BSG Wismut Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 1988
MAG
Magdeburg
0 - 1
BSG Wismut Aue
BWA
66%
20%
14%
77 82 5 0
21 May. 1988
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
1 - 1
BFC Dynamo
BFC
16%
22%
63%
76 88 12 +1
14 May. 1988
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
1 - 0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
46%
25%
29%
76 77 1 0
07 May. 1988
BSG
BSG Stahl Riesa
2 - 3
BSG Wismut Aue
BWA
46%
26%
28%
76 67 9 0
23 Apr. 1988
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
0 - 0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
45%
27%
28%
76 81 5 0