Zurich vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
1º
25
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 37 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 36 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 36 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 33 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCV
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
STG
4 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SER
3 - 0
SIO
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 2
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |