Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-5
Zurich vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
AKA
1 - 2
ZUR
42%
22%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
ZUR
1 - 3
AKA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
ZUR
0 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
DUN
1 - 0
ZUR
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
ZUR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
HOM
4 - 1
KIL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 0
RAI
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
KIL
2 - 4
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
36%
26%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |