Jong Essevee vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
17º
6º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZUL
3 - 1
OOS
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZUL
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 1
KSC
7%
16%
78%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
ZUL
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 4
WES
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 1
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
KSC
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |