3. Liga MSFL round 12

Znojmo vs Karviná II analysis

Znojmo Karviná II
47 ELO 49
14.4% Tilt 7.1%
4626º General ELO ranking 3880º
55º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Znojmo
23%
Draw
38.1%
Karviná II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Znojmo
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.2%
Win probability
Karviná II
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Znojmo
-32%
-35%
Karviná II

Points and table prediction

Znojmo
Their league position
Karviná II
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
15º
18º
18º
9
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK Hanácká
19
39
49%
Uničov
19
36
34%
Třinec
19
36
26.5%
Hlučín
13
30
22%
Zlín II
15
27
22%
FC Zlínsko
12
26
11.5%
Karviná II
14º
9
24
10%
Zbrojovka Brno II
12
23
11.5%
Start Brno
11
22
8%
Slovan Rosice
11
22
10º
13%
FK Hodonín
11º
11
22
11º
12.5%
Unie Hlubina
10º
11
22
12º
8%
Frýdek-Místek
12º
10
21
13º
8%
Slovácko II
13º
10
21
14º
14%
FC Strání
15º
9
17
15º
13.5%
Blansko
16º
7
15
16º
20%
Uherský Brod
17º
6
11
17º
35.5%
Znojmo
18º
1
9
18º
62%
Expected probabilities
Znojmo
Karviná II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
8.5% 96%
Relegation
91.5% 4%

ELO progression

Znojmo
Karviná II
Zbrojovka Brno II
Zlín II
Unie Hlubina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Znojmo
Znojmo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2024
HAN
SK Hanácká
1 - 0
Znojmo
ZNO
72%
18%
10%
47 62 15 0
06 Oct. 2024
ZNO
Znojmo
1 - 0
Hlučín
HLU
28%
24%
48%
45 56 11 +2
02 Oct. 2024
UNI
Uničov
1 - 2
Znojmo
ZNO
74%
16%
10%
44 58 14 +1
29 Sep. 2024
STR
FC Strání
1 - 1
Znojmo
ZNO
41%
24%
35%
43 44 1 +1
22 Sep. 2024
ZNO
Znojmo
2 - 3
Start Brno
TJS
45%
23%
32%
44 46 2 -1

Matches

Karviná II
Karviná II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2024
HLU
Hlučín
3 - 0
Karviná II
MFK
52%
24%
25%
50 55 5 0
06 Oct. 2024
MFK
Karviná II
5 - 2
Start Brno
TJS
52%
23%
25%
49 47 2 +1
02 Oct. 2024
HAN
SK Hanácká
3 - 2
Karviná II
MFK
65%
21%
15%
50 61 11 -1
28 Sep. 2024
SLO
Slovan Rosice
6 - 3
Karviná II
MFK
37%
26%
37%
50 49 1 0
22 Sep. 2024
MFK
Karviná II
0 - 1
Frýdek-Místek
FRY
58%
21%
20%
51 47 4 -1