Znamya vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
68%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 2
LOK
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DIN
6 - 0
ZNA
84%
12%
4%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PSK
1 - 0
ZNA
86%
11%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 2
SHC
11%
22%
67%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
ZNA
0 - 0
SPA
11%
23%
66%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SAT
1 - 2
DNE
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
DNE
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DNE
2 - 1
PSK
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
DNE
2 - 0
DIN
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 1
DNE
41%
29%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |