Zira FK vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
5º
4º
18
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 75 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 61 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 58 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
17% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
63% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 0
DAC
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 2
SHF
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
ZIR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 0
SEB
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |