Zira FK vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
5º
5º
8
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 65 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 61 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 53 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 44 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 43 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 27 |
10º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 0
DAC
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 2
SHF
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
ZIR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
ZIR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 0
SEB
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |