Zesco United vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZES
5 - 0
MBL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
NAP
0 - 2
ZES
41%
30%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
EAG
0 - 1
ZES
45%
28%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ZES
2 - 1
STA
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZES
3 - 0
NKW
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUR
0 - 0
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KAB
1 - 0
LUR
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LUR
2 - 0
MBL
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EAG
1 - 0
LUR
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
LUR
0 - 4
NKW
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |