Zenit vs Saturn Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
LNN
1 - 0
ZEN
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
ZEN
3 - 1
DIN
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ZEN
0 - 0
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FCR
2 - 1
ZEN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ROT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
SAT
0 - 0
YAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ELI
2 - 0
SAT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
SAT
0 - 1
ALA
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
KRS
2 - 0
SAT
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAT
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |