Zenit vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
1º
18
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZEN
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
ZEN
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
ZEN
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZEN
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
TER
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 2
CSK
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
KRS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 2
KRA
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
KRS
3 - 6
DIN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |