Zenit vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
1º
22
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 3
KRS
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZEN
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
ZEN
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
ZEN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
ZEN
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 0
GAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
YAR
0 - 1
AKT
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 0
AKT
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
AKT
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
KRS
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |