Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Željeznicar vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
FTC
1 - 2
ZEL
72%
16%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
ZEL
5 - 1
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 0
ZEL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
BOL
2 - 2
ZEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
FTC
1 - 2
ZEL
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
FTC
5 - 2
EBT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
EBT
1 - 1
FTC
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
FTC
6 - 0
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
FTC
3 - 1
FEN
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |