FNL round 12

Zbrojovka Brno vs Vlašim analysis

Zbrojovka Brno Vlašim
62 ELO 66
4.8% Tilt 20%
2041º General ELO ranking 1982º
27º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
33.4%
Zbrojovka Brno
24.8%
Draw
41.9%
Vlašim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Zbrojovka Brno
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.9%
Win probability
Vlašim
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zbrojovka Brno
-17%
+1%
Vlašim

Points and table prediction

Zbrojovka Brno
Their league position
Vlašim
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
16º
13º
21
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Zlín
40
67
90.5%
Chrudim
33
55
71%
Vyškov
27
46
24%
Viktoria Žižkov
23
44
13.5%
Vlašim
21
42
8%
FC Táborsko
21
42
15.5%
Sigma Olomouc II
11º
19
41
15.5%
Prostějov
22
40
9.5%
Slavia Praha II
20
39
10%
Sparta Praha II
12º
17
36
10º
8.5%
SK Líšeň
20
36
11º
11.5%
SFC Opava
10º
20
36
12º
10%
Zbrojovka Brno
14º
15
33
13º
13%
Baník Ostrava II
15º
15
33
14º
15%
Vysočina Jihlava
13º
16
31
15º
18.5%
Varnsdorf
16º
11
27
16º
44.5%
Expected probabilities
Zbrojovka Brno
Vlašim
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0.5% 20.5%
Mid-table
70.5% 78%
Relegation
29% 1.5%

ELO progression

Zbrojovka Brno
Vlašim
Chrudim
Vyškov
SK Líšeň
Varnsdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2024
PRO
Prostějov
3 - 1
Zbrojovka Brno
ZBR
37%
25%
39%
63 61 2 0
29 Sep. 2024
SGO
Sigma Olomouc II
4 - 1
Zbrojovka Brno
ZBR
53%
23%
24%
63 68 5 0
25 Sep. 2024
FPR
Frenstat pod Radhostem
1 - 3
Zbrojovka Brno
ZBR
5%
11%
84%
63 28 35 0
21 Sep. 2024
ZBR
Zbrojovka Brno
1 - 1
SK Líšeň
LIS
39%
26%
35%
63 66 3 0
01 Sep. 2024
ZBR
Zbrojovka Brno
1 - 2
FC Zlín
ZLI
31%
28%
41%
63 73 10 0

Matches

Vlašim
Vlašim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2024
FCV
Vlašim
2 - 2
Slavia Praha II
SPI
51%
24%
25%
66 65 1 0
27 Sep. 2024
FCV
Vlašim
3 - 2
Baník Ostrava II
BOI
53%
23%
24%
65 62 3 +1
23 Sep. 2024
VJI
Vysočina Jihlava
2 - 2
Vlašim
FCV
28%
24%
48%
65 57 8 0
30 Aug. 2024
FCV
Vlašim
3 - 0
Sigma Olomouc II
SGO
37%
25%
38%
63 68 5 +2
25 Aug. 2024
VIZ
Viktoria Žižkov
1 - 1
Vlašim
FCV
44%
24%
32%
63 63 0 0