Zalgiris Vilnius vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 2
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
ZAL
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
HLI
3 - 1
ZAL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
ZAL
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 2
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 3
EKE
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
INT
3 - 1
VAA
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 1
VAA
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
OUL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |