NK Zagreb vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
DZG
1 - 1
ZAG
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
ZAG
1 - 1
NKV
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAG
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ZAG
1 - 1
INT
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
KIV
1 - 1
ZAG
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
HKS
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SLA
3 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
OSI
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
RIJ
3 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ZAD
3 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |