J3 League round 11

YSCC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis

YSCC Giravanz Kitakyushu
48 ELO 47
10.6% Tilt 1.7%
3696º General ELO ranking 3302º
70º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
46.2%
YSCC
23.8%
Draw
30%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
YSCC
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
YSCC
-41%
+20%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Points and table prediction

YSCC
Their league position
Giravanz Kitakyushu
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
20º
12º
31
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
YSCC
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

YSCC
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

YSCC
YSCC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
YSC
YSCC
2 - 2
Sagamihara
SAG
57%
23%
20%
47 45 2 0
03 May. 2023
GIF
Gifu
1 - 2
YSCC
YSC
54%
23%
23%
46 49 3 +1
30 Apr. 2023
YSC
YSCC
4 - 2
Imabari
FCI
20%
24%
57%
45 59 14 +1
16 Apr. 2023
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
1 - 1
YSCC
YSC
56%
24%
20%
45 51 6 0
08 Apr. 2023
YSC
YSCC
1 - 1
Kagoshima United
KAG
22%
24%
55%
45 58 13 0

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 - 2
Kagoshima United
KAG
19%
23%
59%
48 59 11 0
14 May. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
29%
26%
44%
48 54 6 0
04 May. 2023
KAG
Kagoshima United
2 - 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
67%
20%
14%
49 58 9 -1
29 Apr. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
58%
23%
19%
49 45 4 0
15 Apr. 2023
RYK
Ryūkyū
2 - 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
50%
24%
25%
50 52 2 -1