Série C Temporada Regular round 1

Ypiranga FC vs CSA analysis

Ypiranga FC CSA
66 ELO 67
11.9% Tilt -14.1%
1216º General ELO ranking 1391º
47º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Ypiranga FC
26.6%
Draw
23%
CSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Ypiranga FC
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23%
Win probability
CSA
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ypiranga FC
-4%
-4%
CSA

Points and table prediction

Ypiranga FC
Their league position
CSA
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
25
10º
19º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Botafogo PB
41
41
100%
Athletic Club
40
40
100%
Ferroviária
36
36
100%
São Bernardo FC
35
35
100%
Volta Redonda
34
34
100%
Ypiranga FC
31
31
100%
Londrina
29
29
100%
Remo
26
26
100%
Náutico
25
25
0%
CSA
10º
25
25
10º
0%
Figueirense
11º
24
24
11º
100%
Tombense
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Confiança
13º
22
22
13º
100%
ABC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Caxias do Sul
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
19
19
16º
0%
Floresta EC
16º
19
19
17º
0%
Aparecidense
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Ferroviário
19º
15
15
19º
100%
EC São José
20º
11
11
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ypiranga FC
CSA
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ypiranga FC
CSA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ypiranga FC
Ypiranga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2024
YPI
Ypiranga FC
2 - 0
Porto Velho
POR
81%
12%
7%
65 37 28 0
02 Mar. 2024
YPI
Ypiranga FC
0 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
66%
19%
15%
65 58 7 0
27 Feb. 2024
SAN
Santa Cruz RS
1 - 1
Ypiranga FC
YPI
13%
22%
65%
66 45 21 -1
21 Feb. 2024
RIV
Ríver
1 - 1
Ypiranga FC
YPI
16%
22%
62%
66 47 19 0
18 Feb. 2024
SLU
São Luiz
0 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
27%
26%
47%
66 58 8 0

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2024
CSA
CSA
1 - 2
CSE
CSE
77%
16%
7%
68 44 24 0
07 Apr. 2024
CSE
CSE
0 - 2
CSA
CSA
15%
25%
60%
68 44 24 0
02 Mar. 2024
CSE
CSE
3 - 2
CSA
CSA
14%
24%
62%
68 44 24 0
24 Feb. 2024
CSA
CSA
1 - 1
Penedense
PEN
73%
17%
11%
69 35 34 -1
17 Feb. 2024
MUR
Murici
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
11%
22%
67%
69 38 31 0