Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1612%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
16º
14º
29
1º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 44 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Next round
|
2.5% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
YOZ
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KIY
1 - 1
YOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
YOZ
0 - 2
KIR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
YOZ
2 - 1
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | +5 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OSK
3 - 0
YOZ
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AYV
2 - 2
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 2
AYV
25%
25%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AYV
2 - 1
YOR
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 2
AYV
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AYV
3 - 2
AKS
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |