Tercera RFEF XVI - La Rioja round 5

Yagüe vs Peña Balsamaiso CF analysis

Yagüe Peña Balsamaiso CF
22 ELO 27
14.9% Tilt -4.1%
11682º General ELO ranking 10705º
575º Country ELO ranking 463º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Yagüe
22%
Draw
30%
Peña Balsamaiso CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Yagüe
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.1%
Win probability
Peña Balsamaiso CF
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Yagüe
+1%
-3%
Peña Balsamaiso CF

Points and table prediction

Yagüe
Their league position
Peña Balsamaiso CF
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
18º
17
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Náxara
33
88
79.5%
UD Logroñés B
28
80
69%
CD Varea
19
66
37.5%
CD Calahorra B
18
61
19%
Arnedo
21
59
17.5%
Oyonesa
18
57
12.5%
La Calzada
23
55
13.5%
Peña Balsamaiso CF
17
49
14%
Yagüe
18
49
13%
CD Berceo
13º
11
45
10º
17.5%
Agoncillo
11º
14
39
11º
11.5%
Comillas CF
10º
15
37
12º
14.5%
CD Tedeón
12º
11
33
13º
11.5%
Haro Deportivo
14º
11
31
14º
15%
Autol
15º
11
30
15º
13%
Casalarreina
17º
4
30
16º
13.5%
River Ebro
16º
6
26
17º
18.5%
Vianés
18º
3
19
18º
57.5%
Expected probabilities
Yagüe
Peña Balsamaiso CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
9.5% 10.5%
Mid-table
89% 89%
Relegation
1.5% 0.5%

ELO progression

Yagüe
Peña Balsamaiso CF
Oyonesa
Haro Deportivo
CD Berceo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Yagüe
Yagüe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
BER
CD Berceo
0 - 1
Yagüe
YAG
62%
19%
18%
22 27 5 0
22 Sep. 2024
YAG
Yagüe
3 - 1
Casalarreina
CAS
35%
23%
42%
20 27 7 +2
15 Sep. 2024
VAR
CD Varea
1 - 1
Yagüe
YAG
79%
13%
7%
20 36 16 0
07 Sep. 2024
YAG
Yagüe
0 - 5
Náxara
NAX
18%
19%
64%
21 35 14 -1
28 Aug. 2024
CDF
La Calzada
0 - 2
Yagüe
YAG
53%
24%
24%
20 27 7 +1

Matches

Peña Balsamaiso CF
Peña Balsamaiso CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
BAL
Peña Balsamaiso CF
1 - 2
Haro Deportivo
HAR
75%
15%
10%
26 19 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
AGO
Agoncillo
0 - 2
Peña Balsamaiso CF
BAL
54%
22%
24%
25 27 2 +1
15 Sep. 2024
BAL
Peña Balsamaiso CF
1 - 2
La Calzada
CDF
48%
22%
30%
25 26 1 0
07 Sep. 2024
AUT
Autol
1 - 3
Peña Balsamaiso CF
BAL
34%
24%
42%
24 20 4 +1
12 May. 2024
BAL
Peña Balsamaiso CF
5 - 4
Comillas CF
COM
70%
17%
13%
24 18 6 0