Xinabajul vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
12º
6º
3
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 25 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
49% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 2
XIN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 3
COB
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
XIN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 1
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ZAC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COB
3 - 3
GUA
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |