Xinabajul vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
12º
4º
10
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 26 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 25 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 23 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 13 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 9 |
12º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 2
XIN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 3
COB
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
XIN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
XIN
0 - 1
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ZAC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COB
3 - 3
GUA
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |