National Premier Queensland round 22

Wynnum Wolves vs Gold Coast United analysis

Wynnum Wolves Gold Coast United
29 ELO 35
6.4% Tilt 6.6%
12824º General ELO ranking 7790º
110º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Wynnum Wolves
21.7%
Draw
45.3%
Gold Coast United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Wynnum Wolves
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.3%
Win probability
Gold Coast United
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wynnum Wolves
+4195%
-55%
Gold Coast United

Points and table prediction

Wynnum Wolves
Their league position
Gold Coast United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
12º
23
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gold Coast Knights
58
58
100%
Moreton City Excelsior
48
51
100%
Peninsula Power
47
47
100%
Queensland Lions FC
42
42
100%
Wynnum Wolves
35
35
100%
Olympic FC
26
26
87%
Brisbane Roar II
24
24
70.5%
Gold Coast United
23
23
70.5%
SC Wanderers
22
22
100%
Brisbane City
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Rochedale Rovers
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Redlands United
12º
9
9
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wynnum Wolves
Gold Coast United
Next round
100% 13%
Mid-table
0% 87%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wynnum Wolves
Gold Coast United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wynnum Wolves
Wynnum Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
QUE
Queensland Lions FC
3 - 4
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
79%
13%
8%
25 52 27 0
04 Aug. 2024
WYN
Wynnum Wolves
5 - 2
Redlands United
RED
39%
21%
40%
23 26 3 +2
25 Jul. 2024
SUN
SC Wanderers
1 - 1
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
72%
15%
13%
22 35 13 +1
20 Jul. 2024
MOR
Moreton City Excelsior
6 - 3
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
78%
14%
9%
22 47 25 0
16 Jul. 2024
GOL
Gold Coast United
2 - 1
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
70%
17%
13%
22 36 14 0

Matches

Gold Coast United
Gold Coast United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
GOL
Gold Coast United
0 - 3
Brisbane Roar II
BRR
62%
20%
18%
37 28 9 0
07 Aug. 2024
ROC
Rochedale Rovers
2 - 0
Gold Coast United
GOL
30%
23%
47%
38 30 8 -1
04 Aug. 2024
QUE
Queensland Lions FC
2 - 2
Gold Coast United
GOL
81%
13%
7%
38 52 14 0
20 Jul. 2024
GOL
Gold Coast United
1 - 1
Olympic FC
OLY
48%
22%
30%
37 34 3 +1
16 Jul. 2024
GOL
Gold Coast United
2 - 1
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
70%
17%
13%
36 22 14 +1