Würzburger FV vs MTV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MUN
2 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
WUR
3 - 1
BNE
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
FSV
1 - 2
WUR
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
WUR
3 - 1
FCH
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FRE
0 - 0
WUR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
MTV
0 - 0
MUN
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
BNE
3 - 2
MTV
65%
18%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MTV
3 - 0
FSV
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FCH
4 - 0
MTV
53%
21%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MTV
0 - 3
BAY
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |