Würzburger FV vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
WWO
1 - 2
WUR
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAU
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
HOM
3 - 2
WUR
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
WUR
3 - 2
AUG
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
DAR
2 - 0
WUR
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
SGF
4 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
BAY
3 - 1
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
SGF
2 - 0
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
SVS
0 - 4
SGF
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
SGF
5 - 0
PIR
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |