Wrexham AFC vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
2 - 0
CRA
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
0 - 0
TAM
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
WRE
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
2 - 1
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ALT
1 - 3
WRE
51%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
STE
2 - 1
WOR
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 0
STE
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
STE
3 - 1
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 0
STE
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
STE
4 - 1
DOV
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |