National League South round 20

Worthing vs Weston-super-Mare analysis

Worthing Weston-super-Mare
52 ELO 48
29.7% Tilt 17.3%
3614º General ELO ranking 4674º
116º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Worthing
21.1%
Draw
20.5%
Weston-super-Mare

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
Worthing
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Weston-super-Mare
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Worthing
-4%
-6%
Weston-super-Mare

ELO progression

Worthing
Weston-super-Mare
Chippenham Town
Truro City
Eastbourne Borough
Dorking Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Worthing
Worthing
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2024
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 0
Worthing
WOR
29%
24%
47%
51 47 4 0
23 Nov. 2024
WOR
Worthing
1 - 1
Chelmsford City
CHM
63%
19%
18%
51 48 3 0
16 Nov. 2024
CHI
Chichester City
2 - 3
Worthing
WOR
12%
17%
71%
51 37 14 0
09 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chesham United
2 - 0
Worthing
WOR
35%
24%
40%
52 50 2 -1
05 Nov. 2024
WOR
Worthing
2 - 1
Aveley
AVE
83%
11%
6%
52 41 11 0

Matches

Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2024
GUL
Torquay United
4 - 2
Weston-super-Mare
WES
41%
26%
34%
51 47 4 0
23 Nov. 2024
WES
Weston-super-Mare
4 - 3
Farnborough
FAR
53%
23%
24%
50 47 3 +1
16 Nov. 2024
WES
Weston-super-Mare
2 - 3
Weymouth
WEY
66%
19%
15%
51 41 10 -1
11 Nov. 2024
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 - 1
Weston-super-Mare
WES
22%
23%
55%
50 39 11 +1
09 Nov. 2024
BAT
Bath City
0 - 2
Weston-super-Mare
WES
23%
25%
52%
50 43 7 0