Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
TOW
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
WOR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 1
TAM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
SOL
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GAI
3 - 0
HAL
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 2
STA
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |