Wörgl vs Mattersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
UNT
0 - 1
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
WOR
3 - 1
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
BBL
6 - 2
WOR
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
WOR
1 - 1
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
SCA
3 - 2
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mattersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
LUS
0 - 3
MAT
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
MAT
1 - 1
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
UNP
3 - 5
MAT
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
UNT
1 - 1
MAT
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
MAT
1 - 2
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |