Austrian Bundesliga Temporada Regular round 11

Wolfsberger AC vs Salzburg analysis

Wolfsberger AC Salzburg
80 ELO 80
-0.6% Tilt 5.6%
385º General ELO ranking 363º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43%
Wolfsberger AC
24.4%
Draw
32.6%
Salzburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
Salzburg
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wolfsberger AC
+2%
+7%
Salzburg

Points and table prediction

Wolfsberger AC
Their league position
Salzburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
18
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sturm Graz
32
43
63%
Austria Wien
27
38
25.5%
Rapid Wien
27
38
24.5%
Salzburg
18
32
18.5%
Wolfsberger AC
20
31
17.5%
LASK
20
31
19.5%
TSV Hartberg
16
30
13.5%
Austria Klagenfurt
15
29
16.5%
Blau-Weiß Linz
17
28
21%
Grazer AK
11º
12
23
10º
31%
WSG Tirol
10º
13
21
11º
34%
SCR Altach
12º
9
17
12º
79.5%
Expected probabilities
Wolfsberger AC
Salzburg
Play-offs for the title
54% 74.5%
Relegation play-offs
46% 25.5%

ELO progression

Wolfsberger AC
Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Wien
Grazer AK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
FCB
Blau-Weiß Linz
0 - 1
Wolfsberger AC
WOL
43%
25%
31%
80 80 0 0
05 Oct. 2024
WOL
Wolfsberger AC
2 - 3
TSV Hartberg
HAR
41%
25%
34%
80 80 0 0
29 Sep. 2024
WOL
Wolfsberger AC
1 - 3
WSG Tirol
WAT
51%
24%
26%
80 77 3 0
22 Sep. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 3
Wolfsberger AC
WOL
43%
26%
32%
80 80 0 0
14 Sep. 2024
WOL
Wolfsberger AC
1 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
42%
25%
33%
80 80 0 0

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2024
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
43%
24%
33%
80 83 3 0
19 Oct. 2024
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 1
SCR Altach
ALT
56%
24%
21%
80 77 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
5 - 0
Salzburg
RBS
40%
25%
35%
80 80 0 0
01 Oct. 2024
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 4
Stade Brestois
BRE
40%
25%
36%
81 85 4 -1
28 Sep. 2024
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 0
Austria Wien
AUS
47%
24%
29%
80 80 0 +1