Challenge League round 1

Wohlen vs Aarau analysis

Wohlen Aarau
54 ELO 62
3.9% Tilt 10.9%
7701º General ELO ranking 1530º
91º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
30.8%
Wohlen
25.4%
Draw
43.7%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
Wohlen
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.7%
Win probability
Aarau
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wohlen
+28%
+3%
Aarau

ELO progression

Wohlen
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wohlen
Wohlen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2012
BEL
AC Bellinzona
5 - 0
Wohlen
WOH
61%
22%
17%
55 61 6 0
19 May. 2012
WOH
Wohlen
2 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
31%
24%
44%
54 59 5 +1
12 May. 2012
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 2
Wohlen
WOH
65%
20%
14%
52 61 9 +2
05 May. 2012
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
65%
20%
15%
53 45 8 -1
29 Apr. 2012
DEL
Delemont
0 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
29%
25%
47%
52 43 9 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2012
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Sion
SIO
26%
25%
49%
59 77 18 0
26 May. 2012
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
Aarau
FCA
67%
20%
13%
60 77 17 -1
23 May. 2012
FCA
Aarau
7 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
73%
18%
10%
60 45 15 0
19 May. 2012
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
65%
20%
14%
59 70 11 +1
12 May. 2012
FCA
Aarau
5 - 0
Delemont
DEL
70%
18%
12%
59 43 16 0