Bidvest Wits vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
BID
2 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BID
0 - 0
PIR
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
BID
0 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SSU
0 - 0
BID
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BID
2 - 1
SWA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
AJA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
26%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
MAR
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |