Wismut Gera vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ERF
4 - 2
WIS
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
WIS
5 - 3
SED
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
BSA
2 - 1
WIS
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
WIS
3 - 3
ZWI
39%
23%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
HAL
1 - 1
WIS
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
FCU
2 - 1
BAB
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SCW
4 - 2
FCU
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
FCU
3 - 3
SVD
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BSS
3 - 2
FCU
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
FCU
2 - 2
LIC
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |