Non League Premier Isthmian round 19

Wingate & Finchley vs Leiston analysis

Wingate & Finchley Leiston
38 ELO 44
-1.9% Tilt 4.4%
5502º General ELO ranking 6239º
216º Country ELO ranking 263º
ELO win probability
22.6%
Wingate & Finchley
22.7%
Draw
54.7%
Leiston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
Wingate & Finchley
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.7%
Win probability
Leiston
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wingate & Finchley
-5%
+30%
Leiston

ELO progression

Wingate & Finchley
Leiston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wingate & Finchley
Wingate & Finchley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2017
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 1
Leatherhead
LEA
55%
22%
23%
36 32 4 0
14 Jan. 2017
GRA
Grays Athletic
1 - 2
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
19%
22%
60%
36 23 13 0
10 Jan. 2017
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
2 - 1
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
69%
18%
12%
35 26 9 +1
07 Jan. 2017
WIN
Wingate & Finchley
0 - 0
Harlow Town
HAR
33%
25%
42%
35 41 6 0
02 Jan. 2017
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
1 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
66%
20%
15%
35 43 8 0

Matches

Leiston
Leiston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2017
WOR
Worthing
1 - 3
Leiston
LEI
44%
23%
33%
44 42 2 0
17 Jan. 2017
LEI
Leiston
4 - 0
Canvey Island
CAN
78%
14%
8%
44 28 16 0
14 Jan. 2017
LEI
Leiston
4 - 1
Billericay Town
BIL
67%
19%
14%
44 35 9 0
07 Jan. 2017
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
0 - 6
Leiston
LEI
17%
21%
62%
43 29 14 +1
02 Jan. 2017
LEI
Leiston
5 - 1
Needham Market
NEE
58%
22%
21%
42 38 4 +1