Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
ELI
3 - 1
WIL
41%
22%
38%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
FOR
0 - 1
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
33%
22%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ENS
5 - 1
WIL
68%
16%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VVV
2 - 2
FEY
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ELI
2 - 2
VVV
37%
22%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
VVV
2 - 1
RAP
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
MVV
1 - 0
VVV
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
VVV
2 - 1
EIN
83%
11%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |