Eredivisie round 22

Willem II vs Roda JC analysis

Willem II Roda JC
64 ELO 72
14.5% Tilt 12%
418º General ELO ranking 868º
11º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
46.7%
Willem II
24.5%
Draw
28.8%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
Willem II
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.8%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
+2%
-11%
Roda JC

ELO progression

Willem II
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 1983
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 3
Willem II
WIL
53%
26%
22%
63 64 1 0
29 Jan. 1983
WIL
Willem II
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
29%
26%
44%
63 81 18 0
23 Jan. 1983
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 2
Willem II
WIL
58%
24%
18%
62 63 1 +1
15 Jan. 1983
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
21%
23%
56%
63 88 25 -1
08 Jan. 1983
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
45%
25%
30%
63 74 11 0

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 1983
GRO
Groningen
4 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
59%
22%
19%
73 72 1 0
22 Jan. 1983
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
5 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
31%
27%
41%
74 60 14 -1
16 Jan. 1983
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 1
Twente
TWE
43%
26%
32%
73 82 9 +1
12 Dec. 1982
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
77%
15%
8%
74 62 12 -1
04 Dec. 1982
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
76%
15%
9%
73 88 15 +1