Eredivisie round 3

Willem II vs PSV analysis

Willem II PSV
65 ELO 88
19% Tilt 16.8%
411º General ELO ranking 67º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.8%
Willem II
24.2%
Draw
58.1%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
Willem II
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58%
Win probability
PSV
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-1%
+17%
PSV

ELO progression

Willem II
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1989
WIL
Willem II
0 - 0
Twente
TWE
42%
27%
31%
65 76 11 0
12 Aug. 1989
MVV
MVV Maastricht
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
47%
26%
28%
66 63 3 -1
21 May. 1989
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
83%
11%
5%
66 88 22 0
15 May. 1989
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
SC Veendam
BVV
67%
20%
14%
66 59 7 0
13 May. 1989
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 2
Willem II
WIL
52%
24%
24%
66 71 5 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 1989
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
84%
11%
5%
88 69 19 0
15 May. 1989
GRO
Groningen
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
22%
25%
53%
88 75 13 0
13 May. 1989
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
HFC Haarlem
HFC
85%
11%
4%
88 68 20 0
06 May. 1989
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
84%
11%
5%
88 72 16 0
30 Apr. 1989
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
0 - 0
PSV
PSV
21%
21%
58%
88 68 20 0