Willem II vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
4 - 0
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 3
PSV
40%
24%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 2
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 2
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
FOR
4 - 0
DWS
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +2 |