Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 2
WIL
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 1
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WIL
4 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
TWE
2 - 2
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
72%
16%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
TWE
0 - 1
RKC
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |