Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
HFC
1 - 3
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GRO
2 - 0
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
VVV
1 - 0
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
GRO
0 - 1
VOL
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
FOR
4 - 2
GRO
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |