Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
4 - 0
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
WIL
5 - 2
TEL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
34%
24%
41%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
BJK
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 0
BJK
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 0
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |