FC Wil vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
5º
5º
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
WIL
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 0
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 0
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRI
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 3
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
4 - 2
BIE
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 2
BUL
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |