FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BIE
3 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 3
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 3
WOH
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
FCV
5 - 3
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +3 |