Wiener SC vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
11º
6º
23
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiener SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FAV
4 - 2
WIE
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
WIE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIE
3 - 3
SCW
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
MAU
2 - 3
WIE
34%
24%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DON
2 - 3
SVG
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCW
0 - 0
DON
26%
23%
52%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DON
1 - 1
FCM
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 1
DON
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DON
1 - 3
RAP
12%
17%
72%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |