III Liga Grupo 4 round 16

Wieczysta Kraków vs Podhale Nowy Targ analysis

Wieczysta Kraków Podhale Nowy Targ
40 ELO 32
-0.7% Tilt -0.3%
2480º General ELO ranking 5199º
48º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Wieczysta Kraków
18.3%
Draw
18.2%
Podhale Nowy Targ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
Wieczysta Kraków
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.2%
Win probability
Podhale Nowy Targ
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wieczysta Kraków
+71%
+49%
Podhale Nowy Targ

Points and table prediction

Wieczysta Kraków
Their league position
Podhale Nowy Targ
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
45
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stal Stalowa Wola
71
74
100%
Avia Świdnik
68
68
100%
Wieczysta Kraków
64
67
100%
KSZO Ostrowiec
58
58
100%
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
55
55
100%
Cracovia Kraków II
54
54
100%
Wisłoka Dębica
52
52
100%
Sokół Sieniawa
48
48
100%
Czarni Połaniec
47
47
100%
Podhale Nowy Targ
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Orleta Radzyn
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Chełmianka Chełm
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Wiązownica
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Unia Tarnów
14º
40
40
14º
0%
Korona Kielce II
15º
39
39
15º
89%
LKS Lagow
16º
37
37
16º
89%
Wisła Sandomierz
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Lublinianka
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wieczysta Kraków
Podhale Nowy Targ
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wieczysta Kraków
Podhale Nowy Targ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wieczysta Kraków
Wieczysta Kraków
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
CPO
Czarni Połaniec
2 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
12%
17%
72%
41 23 18 0
29 Oct. 2022
WIE
Wieczysta Kraków
1 - 1
Avia Świdnik
ASW
39%
26%
35%
40 45 5 +1
23 Oct. 2022
MSK
Korona Kielce II
0 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
34%
24%
42%
39 34 5 +1
15 Oct. 2022
WIS
Wisłoka Dębica
3 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
32%
25%
44%
41 36 5 -2
08 Oct. 2022
WIE
Wieczysta Kraków
4 - 1
Wisła Sandomierz
WIS
87%
9%
4%
41 18 23 0

Matches

Podhale Nowy Targ
Podhale Nowy Targ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
POD
Podhale Nowy Targ
1 - 3
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
34%
27%
39%
35 39 4 0
29 Oct. 2022
UTA
Unia Tarnów
3 - 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
POD
21%
21%
58%
37 25 12 -2
22 Oct. 2022
POD
Podhale Nowy Targ
1 - 1
Wiązownica
KSW
73%
16%
11%
37 24 13 0
15 Oct. 2022
CRA
Cracovia Kraków II
3 - 2
Podhale Nowy Targ
POD
55%
23%
22%
38 41 3 -1
08 Oct. 2022
POD
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 - 0
Lublinianka
LUB
22%
24%
55%
35 45 10 +3