National League South round 23

Weymouth vs Oxford City analysis

Weymouth Oxford City
49 ELO 42
2% Tilt 4.6%
5531º General ELO ranking 4172º
275º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Weymouth
20.8%
Draw
17.8%
Oxford City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Weymouth
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.8%
Win probability
Oxford City
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weymouth
-8%
+59%
Oxford City

ELO progression

Weymouth
Oxford City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weymouth
Weymouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2019
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 1
St. Albans City
STA
73%
17%
10%
49 37 12 0
14 Dec. 2019
BAR
Barnet
2 - 1
Weymouth
WEY
41%
25%
35%
49 49 0 0
07 Dec. 2019
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
1 - 0
Weymouth
WEY
37%
24%
39%
50 47 3 -1
30 Nov. 2019
WEY
Weymouth
2 - 1
Hungerford Town
HUN
81%
14%
6%
51 36 15 -1
23 Nov. 2019
WEY
Weymouth
1 - 0
Hastings United
HAS
61%
21%
18%
50 43 7 +1

Matches

Oxford City
Oxford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2019
OXF
Oxford City
3 - 2
Hungerford Town
HUN
74%
15%
11%
42 33 9 0
17 Dec. 2019
OXF
Oxford City
3 - 3
St. Albans City
STA
62%
20%
18%
42 37 5 0
07 Dec. 2019
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 4
Maidstone United
MAI
42%
25%
33%
44 47 3 -2
30 Nov. 2019
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
56%
22%
22%
43 42 1 +1
26 Nov. 2019
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
4 - 4
Oxford City
OXF
36%
26%
39%
43 42 1 0