Wexford Youths vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
3º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LON
3 - 0
WEX
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 0
BRW
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
4 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 1
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
UCD
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 0
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 4
BOH
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 1
CAO
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
UCD
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |