Wexford Youths vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
3º
29
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
WEX
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
BRW
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 0
KEF
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
LON
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
COB
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FIN
3 - 2
LON
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |