National League South round 22

Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City analysis

Weston-super-Mare Truro City
41 ELO 47
16% Tilt 6.5%
4646º General ELO ranking 5357º
166º Country ELO ranking 207º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Weston-super-Mare
23.5%
Draw
39%
Truro City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
Weston-super-Mare
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39%
Win probability
Truro City
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weston-super-Mare
+66%
+47%
Truro City

ELO progression

Weston-super-Mare
Truro City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weston-super-Mare
Weston-super-Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2011
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 2
Weston-super-Mare
WES
49%
24%
28%
41 41 0 0
03 Dec. 2011
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
1 - 1
Weston-super-Mare
WES
50%
23%
27%
41 42 1 0
26 Nov. 2011
SAL
Salisbury City
2 - 0
Weston-super-Mare
WES
52%
22%
25%
42 46 4 -1
19 Nov. 2011
WES
Weston-super-Mare
4 - 2
Maidenhead United
MAI
68%
18%
14%
42 33 9 0
15 Nov. 2011
WES
Weston-super-Mare
2 - 1
Staines Town
STA
63%
20%
17%
41 37 4 +1

Matches

Truro City
Truro City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2011
SUT
Sutton United
2 - 2
Truro City
WHI
55%
23%
22%
46 51 5 0
17 Dec. 2011
WHI
Truro City
3 - 3
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
63%
20%
17%
46 42 4 0
10 Dec. 2011
WHI
Truro City
2 - 5
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
41%
23%
36%
48 51 3 -2
06 Dec. 2011
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
2 - 2
Truro City
WHI
30%
24%
46%
48 41 7 0
03 Dec. 2011
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 1
Truro City
WHI
37%
24%
39%
49 46 3 -1