Westfalia Herne vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ABI
1 - 1
WHE
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
WHE
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 4
SWE
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ESS
1 - 2
WHE
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
WHE
2 - 2
KLE
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 3
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 0
GEW
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
KÖL
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
37%
24%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BER
0 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |