Oberliga NRW round 16

Westfalia Herne vs Erndtebrück analysis

Westfalia Herne Erndtebrück
18 ELO 17
-1% Tilt 17.6%
18284º General ELO ranking 12142º
1112º Country ELO ranking 663º
ELO win probability
64.4%
Westfalia Herne
19.3%
Draw
16.2%
Erndtebrück

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
Westfalia Herne
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
Erndtebrück
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Westfalia Herne
+39%
-47%
Erndtebrück

ELO progression

Westfalia Herne
Erndtebrück
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Westfalia Herne
Westfalia Herne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2011
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1 - 1
Westfalia Herne
WHE
81%
13%
7%
19 34 15 0
13 Nov. 2011
WHE
Westfalia Herne
1 - 5
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
17%
22%
61%
20 35 15 -1
06 Nov. 2011
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
5 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
75%
15%
10%
21 33 12 -1
30 Oct. 2011
WHE
Westfalia Herne
1 - 0
Viktoria Köln
VIK
13%
21%
66%
20 53 33 +1
23 Oct. 2011
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
0 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
51%
22%
28%
20 21 1 0

Matches

Erndtebrück
Erndtebrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2011
ERN
Erndtebrück
2 - 4
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
16%
21%
63%
17 34 17 0
13 Nov. 2011
ERN
Erndtebrück
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
18%
21%
61%
18 33 15 -1
06 Nov. 2011
VIK
Viktoria Köln
5 - 0
Erndtebrück
ERN
80%
14%
6%
18 52 34 0
30 Oct. 2011
ERN
Erndtebrück
1 - 4
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
42%
24%
34%
19 21 2 -1
22 Oct. 2011
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 1
Erndtebrück
ERN
66%
20%
14%
19 32 13 0